Modifying Danger Zone To 1.8 For Now

Day 478

After today, my average run time for my 100-day test is up to about 74 minutes. I am very happy about that and not feeling bad at all about being a bit over the starting mark of 76.8. The holidays caused that, so I appear to be doing fine overall.

Unfortunately, my diet is taking a turn for the worse. After going over 2.0 kg yesterday, today makes that 2 days in a row. I got a little over 2.0 again, and a poor overnight weight loss put me in a big hole before the beginning of the run.

I don’t have specific numbers today on my max weight increase, but it was definitely a little over 2.0, which means I was in the Danger Zone yet again. 2.0 is not bad for 90-minute days when the weather is warm, or at least was not bad for me a couple of months ago. One thing I am learning is that a person’s Danger Zone may have to be modified over time based on many factors. I don’t have a list of those factors, and it’s not clear how helpful that would be, anyway. But weather is the factor I am talking about here. It seems like my 2.0 Danger Zone is not going to apply in Denmark winter weather. Even running 90 minutes, I have gained weight on some days when finishing around a 2.0 increase. So that number needs to be out for now and probably should be reduced to about 1.8.

I knew I was in trouble when I woke up and weighed 79.0 kg. That was 1.5 kg over today’s starting weight. However, there were some decent surprising results after that that helped me whittle that number down more than expected. By weigh-in time, I somehow managed to drop to 77.6 kg, for the minimum trackable daily weight gain of .1 kg. That was way better than expected. However, recent results still convince me that my Danger Zone needs to be modified down to 1.8 from 2.0 as long as it’s still near freezing outside. And that is for an expected 90-minute run. Thus, in order to safely do some shorter runs, I’ll need to keep my weight increase on a particular day to something below 1.8 kg.

I was surprised to be at 77.8 after the running session, and that helped me almost break even today. I was then able to drop an additional .2 kg to finish at 77.6.

2 days in a row of going over 2.0 kg has resulted in an increase of .4 kg even when exercising for 90 minutes. Is my diet getting out of control? That’s something I will continue to monitor, but it’s sometimes natural to temporarily eat more because the body actually needs it. So it’s not time to panic just yet. For now, I will just keep eating what seems necessary for the energy that gets me through the day. Neither of the past 2 days came close to putting me into “cheat day” territory. So I am not too upset yet. But this trend can’t just keep going, or something will have to be modified.

Results Through Day 38:

Day 1 – 90 minutes – lost .2 kg – 76.8 to 76.6
Day 2 – 70 minutes – gained .2 kg – 76.6 to 76.8
Day 3 – 64 minutes – gained .2 kg – 76.8 to 77.0
Day 4 – 89 minutes – lost .2 kg – 77.0 to 76.8
Day 5 – 75 minutes – gained .3 kg – 76.8 to 77.1
Day 6 – 90 minutes – gained .5 kg – 77.1 to 77.6
Day 7 – 90 minutes – lost .9 kg – 77.6 to 76.7
Day 8 – 90 minutes – gained 1.5 kg – 76.7 to 78.2 (cheat day)
Day 9 – 90 minutes – lost .1 kg – 78.2 to 78.1
Day 10 – 90 minutes – lost .7 kg – 78.1 to 77.4
Day 11 – 90 minutes – gained .2 kg – 77.4 to 77.6
Day 12 – 90 minutes – lost .4 kg – 77.6 to 77.2
Day 13 – 90 minutes – lost .4 kg – 77.2 to 76.8
Day 14 – 90 minutes – broke even – 76.8 to 76.8
Day 15 – 90 minutes – lost .2 kg – 76.8 to 76.6
Day 16 – 90 minutes – gained .6 kg – 76.8 to 77.2
Day 17 – 90 minutes – lost .2 kg – 77.2 to 77.0
Day 18 – 87 minutes – lost .1 kg – 77.0 to 76.9
Day 19 – 84 minutes – gained .1 kg – 76.9 to 77.0
Day 20 – 0 minutes – gained 1.7 kg – 77.0 to 78.7 (combined cheat day and break day)
Day 21 – 88 minutes – broke even – 78.7 to 78.7 (odd cheat where I actually broke even)
Day 22 – 90 minutes – gained .2 kg – 78.7 to 78.9 (partial cheat day)
Day 23 – 90 minutes – lost .6 kg – 78.9 to 78.3
Day 24 – 90 minutes – gained .2 kg – 78.3 to 78.5
Day 25 – 0 minutes – lost .2 kg – 78.5 to 78.3 (break day)
Day 26 – 90 minutes – lost .4 kg – 78.3 to 77.9
Day 27 – 0 minutes – gained 1.6 kg – 77.9 to 79.5 (cheat day and break day combined)
Days 28 and 29 combined – 0 minutes – gained .3 kg – 79.5 to 79.8 (one cheat day, one partial cheat day, and 2 break days)
Day 30 – 90 minutes – lost 1.3 kg – 79.8 to 78.5
Day 31 – 0 minutes – gained .3 kg – 78.5 to 78.8 (break day)
Day 32 – 89 minutes – lost .6 kg – 78.8 to 78.2
Day 33 – 90 minutes – broke even – 78.2 to 78.2
Day 34 – 90 minutes – lost .8 kg – 78.2 to 77.4
Day 35 – 90 minutes – gained .3 kg – 77.4 to 77.7
Day 36 – 90 minutes – lost .5 kg – 77.7 to 77.2
Day 37 – 80 minutes – gained .3 kg – 77.2 to 77.5
Day 38 – 90 minutes – gained .1 kg – 77.5 to 77.6
gained .7 kg (5 cheat days, 2 partial cheat days, and 6 break days)
minutes saved from max of 90 – 694
2806 minutes total
average run time – 74 minutes

Leave a Reply